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Leading From the Emerging Future 「 從顯現的未來開展領導力」

Theory U authors Otto Scharmer and Katrin Kaufer recently published the book “Leading from the Emerging Future: From Ego-System to Eco-System Economies” offering a framework for understanding the underlying causes of the economic, social and spiritual-cultural crises of our time as well as offering methods for changing them into an economy for well-being.

At the outset of the book Otto and Katrin pose three questions:

  1. In the face of disruption, how do we lead from the emerging future?
  2. What evolutionary economic framework can guide our journey forward?
  3. What strategies can help us to function as vehicles for shifting the whole?

In exploring these questions they lay out three big ideas:

The first is that there are two fundamentally different modes of learning: learning from the past and learning from the emerging future.  In order to learn from the emerging future, we have to activate a deep learning cycle that involves not only opening the mind (transcending cognitive boundaries), but also opening the heart (transcending our relational boundaries) and opening the will (transcending the boundaries of our small will).  The U process of learning from the emerging future follows these three movements through the steps: 1) “Observe, observe,” 2) “Retreat and reflect: allow the inner knowing to emerge,” and 3) “Act in an instant.”

The second big idea concerns the Matrix of Economic Evolution below:

Matrix of Economic Evolution

The matrix suggests that the evolution of economic structures is interdependent with the evolution of human consciousness Today’s transformation of economic structures requires that we move away from an obsolete “ego-system” awareness focusing entirely on the well-being of the individual - be it a single person, group, organization, or country - to an eco-system awareness emphasizing the well-being of the whole. 

The third big idea is that the next revolution will require a multi-point strategy that, from a system perspective, focuses on the eight “acupuncture” points of economic and social transformation: 

  1. Nature: How can we rethink the economy and nature from “take, make and throw away” to an integrated closed-loop design, in which everything that we take from the earth is returned at the same or high level of quality?
  2. Labor: How can we relink work - the profession we choose to pursue - with Work - what we really love doing?
  3. Capital: How can we relink the financial economy and the real economy by recycling financial capital into the service and cultivation of ecological, social and cultural commons?
  4. Technology: How can we create broad access to the core technologies of the third Industrial Revolution, blending information technology, regenerative energy, and social technologies in order to unleash individual and collective creativity?
  5. Leadership: How can we build a collective leadership capacity to innovate at the scale of the whole system?
  6. Consumption: How can we rebalance the economic playing field so that consumers can engage in collaborative, conscious consumption and become equal partners in an economy that creates well-being for all?
  7. Coordination: How can we end the war of the parts against the whole by shifting the mode of consciousness from ego-system to eco-system awareness?
  8. Ownership: What innovations in property rights would give voice to future generations and facilitate the best societal uses of scarce resources and commons?

These eight elements, from nature to ownership, define the core of any economic system.  Our notions about each element change profoundly in the journey from 0.0 to 4.0.  Understanding these changes and shifts allows us not only to understand our current reality, but also to identify the potential of the future. 

The essence of this evolutionary journey is transcending the mind-matter division in science, social science and philosophy by reflecting the of scientific observation back onto the observing self - back onto the source.  The source is, from a systems view, where the feedback loop between mind and matter closes in the now, both individually and collectively.  Aspirations to bring deeper humanity into social systems often fail however because there is no space to hold them.

This brings us back to the third question: What strategies can help us to function as vehicles for the future that wants to emerge?  

  1. bend the beam of attention back to its source in order to cultivate generative relationships and advance the movement of institutional inversion in individuals, groups and organisations;
  2. focus on all eight acupuncture points to update the economic and societal logic of operating to 4.0; and 
  3. shift the global field of entrepreneurship by creating a multi-regional network of “hubs” that support the capacity of the next generation of entrepreneurs to build intentional eco-system economies on a scale that meets the challenges of our time.  

By focusing on these leverage points, we will be stepping into a new space, a space that is formed by the coming together of global civil society, action science, mindfulness and awareness and putting them into the service of transforming all key institutions of business, government and education.  That’s what is starting to happen now.  

Source: Kaufer, K. and Scharmer, O. (2013) Leading From The Emerging Future: From Ego-System To Eco-System Economies. San Francisco: Berrett-Koehler Publishers, Inc.


「 從顯現的未來開展領導力」

U型理論(Theory U) 的作者夏默(Otto Scharmer)和考夫爾(Katrin Kaufer)最近出版的書籍《Leading from the Emerging Future (從顯現的未來開展領導力)》,提出一種結構性的看法,觀察當今經濟、社會、精神文化層面的危機,並提出一些想法,希望能將這些危機轉化為一個健全的經濟體系。


  1. 在我們面臨干擾時,該如何從即將浮現的未來展現領導力?
  2. 哪一種演變式的經濟結構體可以指引我們往前邁進?
  3. 什麼樣的策略可以幫助我們成為調整整體結構的工具?








  1. 大自然:我們該如何從「拿取、使用、丟棄」的思維模式來思考經濟和大自然,轉換成閉合迴路的設計,用同樣或同樣的品質將取自於大自然的東西回歸大自然?
  2. 勞工:我們該如何重新將我們選擇要追求的專業和我們真心喜愛的領域做結合?
  3. 資產:我們該如何將金融經濟體和真正的經濟體做結合,將金融資產化身為滋養生態、社會、文化共同點的服務與養成?
  4. 科技:我們該如何將第三次工業革命的核心科技結合資訊科技、再生能源、社會科技,讓這些科技拓及更多的族群,激發出更多的個人與集體創意?
  5. 領導力:我們該如何建立起一個集體的領導能力,以整個系統的規模來發揮創新?
  6. 消費:我們該如何重新平衡經濟體的競爭,讓消費者可以投入於合作性、有意識的消費,成為一個為所有人有益的經濟體的一份子?
  7. 協調:我們該如何將意識的型態從自我系統轉換到對生態系統有所察覺的模式,進而結束部分成員打擊整體的戰爭?
  8. 所有權:在產權方面,什麼樣的創新可以讓未來的世代可以發聲,並讓神聖的資源和共同點可以在社會上發揮最好的作用?




  1. 將注意力的光導回根源處滋養開創性的關係,推廣個人、團體和組織內的機構性反轉(institutional inversion);
  2. 將焦點放在八個針灸穴點將經濟與社會的作業邏輯提升到4.0;並且 
  3. 轉換創業精神的全局域,創造多區域的樞紐網絡,用來支援下一世代的創業家,共同建立規模足以滿足這時代面臨的挑戰、有意識的生態系統經濟體。 



資料來源:Kaufer, K. and Scharmer, O. (2013) Leading From The Emerging Future: From Ego-System To Eco-System Economies. San Francisco: Berrett-Koehler Publishers, Inc.


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